Rating Change: Democrats Turn Up Heat in New Jersey House Race

September 9, 2016

By Nathan Gonzales 

In June, House Majority PAC, the go-to Democratic group for House races, began a seven-week cable television campaign with an ad, titled “Quotes,” featuring critiques of Garrett from New Jersey newspaper editorials. “Scott Garrett. He’s bad for business and wrong for New Jersey,” the ad said. 

Democrats have evidence, and even some GOP strategists admit, that the ad campaign worked and that this is an increasingly serious race. A late-August GBA Strategies poll for the DCCC showed Garrett with a 2-point lead compared to an April survey for a Democratic outside group which had the incumbent ahead by 19 points.

We’re changing The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report/Roll Call rating from Republican Favored to Leans Republican. 

Read more at Roll Call.