HMP Poll: Cait Conley Leads Mike Lawler in NY-17
July 8, 2026
Washington, D.C. – A new House Majority PAC poll of New York’s 17th Congressional District, conducted by FM3 Research from June 27-July 1, finds Democratic candidate Cait Conley leading Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in the race for Congress.
Key findings from HMP’s poll include:
- Cait Conley leads Mike Lawler: In a head-to-head matchup, Conley leads Lawler 51% to 45%.
- Mike Lawler is underwater in the district: Lawler’s favorability rating stands at 39% favorable to 55% unfavorable.
- Donald Trump is also underwater in NY-17: Trump’s favorability rating stands at 38% favorable to 60% unfavorable.
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