HMP Poll: Leela Gray LEADS Anna Paulina Luna in FL-13
September 1, 2026
Washington, D.C. – A new House Majority PAC poll of Florida’s 13th Congressional District, conducted by Hart Research Associates from August 25-27, finds Democratic candidate Leela Gray leading Republican candidate Anna Paulina Luna, 51% to 46%.
Key findings from HMP’s poll include:
- Leela Gray leads Anna Paulina Luna on the initial ballot: In an initial head-to-head matchup, Gray leads Luna 51% to 46%.
- Gray is winning unaffiliated voters (56% Gray to 39% Luna) and one in four (24%) of Republicans.
- A full 9% of 2024 Trump voters backed Gray in the two-way.
- Leela Gray leads Anna Paulina Luna in the multi-candidate ballot: In an initial multi-candidate matchup, Gray leads Luna 44% to 43%. 7% said they would support independent candidate Tony D’Arrigo.
- Democrats lead on the generic congressional ballot: 49% of FL-13 voters say they would support the Democratic candidate, compared to 44% who say they would support the Republican if the election were held today.
- Donald Trump is underwater in FL-13: Trump’s job approval stands at 43% approve and 57% disapprove.
- 2024 Recall: The 2024 recall of this poll is Trump +12.
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