HMP Poll: Randy Villegas Leads David Valadao in CA-22
July 21, 2026
Washington, D.C. – A new House Majority PAC poll of California’s 22nd Congressional District, conducted by Tulchin Research from June 15-21, finds Democratic candidate Randy Villegas leading Republican Rep. David Valadao in the race for Congress.
Key findings from HMP’s poll include:
- Villegas leads Valadao on the initial ballot test: In an initial head-to-head matchup, Villegas leads Valadao 48% to 44%.
- Villegas continues to lead after voters learn more about the candidates: After voters hear positive biographies of both candidates, Villegas maintains his advantage, leading Valadao 49% to 45%.
- Donald Trump is deeply underwater in CA-22: Trump’s favorability rating stands at 42% favorable to 57% unfavorable, giving him a net favorability of -15 points.
- Valadao is underwater with district voters: Valadao posts a 41% favorable to 47% unfavorable image, for a net favorability of -6.
- Villegas boasts a strong favorability advantage in the district: Villegas earns a 37% favorable to 28% unfavorable rating, giving him a +9 net favorability.
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