capitol building

MEMO: HMP New York Fund Update Post Redistricting

February 29, 2024

One year ago, House Majority PAC announced a historic $45 million New York Fund program for the 2024 election cycle. After victory in the NY-03 special election and new congressional maps, you can find below our latest update on New York. 

Despite Democrats’ 2022 underperformance in New York, the path back to a Democratic House Majority runs through the Empire State. The math is clear: 

How Are We Winning?
We’ve already started. Tom Suozzi’s decisive victory in New York’s 3rd District special election marks the beginning of House Democrats’ march back to the Majority. HMP invested nearly $8 million in this race because that’s what we had to do to win. If we are able to replicate the results in NY-03 across the remaining 16 seats won by President Biden in 2020 that are now held by Republicans, Democrats would win all 16. 

The November 2023 elections additionally showed clear momentum for Democrats across the country and in New York: 

How Are Republicans Losing? 
Republicans in New York are their own worst enemies – voting to restrict abortion access in New York, opposing bipartisan border security legislation, voting to cut veterans benefits, and so much more. In addition to these career-ending votes, leadership is nowhere to be found.

While Elise Stefanik pledged in August 2023 to spend $100 million in New York swing districts, Stefanik was missing in action throughout the NY-03 special election and is more focused on running for Vice President than protecting vulnerable incumbents – HMP thanks her for that. 

Here’s how the districts break down after redistricting: 

House Majority PAC will be the largest investor in New York Democratic campaigns in 2024, and we will flip these New York districts blue and take back the House.